FXUS63 KPAH 111851
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1250 PM CST THU MAR 11 2010

.UPDATE...
UPDATED AVN DISCUSSION. NO UPDATE TO PUBLIC DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MOST MODELS HAVE PCPN OUT OF AREA BY 18Z AND STILL NICE DAY W/WARM
SLYS PREVAILING THIS PM. LONG WAVE LOW REALLY DIGS/BARRELS ACROSS
LOWER OH VALLEY TONIGHT-FRI...RETURNING HIGH POPS/THUNDER CHANCES
(SWODY2 SEE TEXT). THE LOW SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE TN VALLEY THIS
WEEKEND...RESULTING IN SHOWERY SAT WEATHER W/A GENERAL TAPERING OF
POPS WEST TO EAST ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW MOVES TO THE DELMARVA.

IN GENERAL POPS WERE ONLY TWEEKED IN THE NEAR TERM/THRU DAY 4 WITH
MINIMAL MASSAGE ON DAY 5 AND BEYOND. WARM TEMPS NEAR TERM WILL
COOL ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW FOR THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
A SFC WIND SHIFT WAS ON THE WAY THROUGH THE FOUR STATE REGION TODAY.
DRIER AIR BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY WILL TEND TO ENCOURAGE VFR
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE MS RIVER. EAST OF THE RIVER
THERE WILL BE A LIMITED CHANCE OF PCPN IN THE FORM OF SHWRS. A
LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF THE KY LAKES AND
THE WABASH RIVER EARLY ON. OVNGT...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
FRI MRNG...A SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL TN AND
MOVE NWD INTO ERN PARTS OF OUR REGION...PRODUCING MAINLY ELEVATED
SHWR ACTIVITY.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$